<?xml version='1.0' encoding='utf-8' ?>

<rss version='2.0' xmlns:lj='http://www.livejournal.org/rss/lj/1.0/' xmlns:atom10='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom'>
<channel>
  <title>Mat Bowles</title>
  <link>https://matgb.dreamwidth.org/</link>
  <description>Mat Bowles - Dreamwidth Studios</description>
  <lastBuildDate>Wed, 07 Apr 2010 01:14:00 GMT</lastBuildDate>
  <generator>LiveJournal / Dreamwidth Studios</generator>
  <lj:journal>matgb</lj:journal>
  <lj:journaltype>personal</lj:journaltype>
  <image>
    <url>https://v2.dreamwidth.org/713064/17442</url>
    <title>Mat Bowles</title>
    <link>https://matgb.dreamwidth.org/</link>
    <width>100</width>
    <height>100</height>
  </image>

<item>
  <guid isPermaLink='true'>https://matgb.dreamwidth.org/368408.html</guid>
  <pubDate>Wed, 07 Apr 2010 01:14:00 GMT</pubDate>
  <title>Why vote?</title>
  <link>https://matgb.dreamwidth.org/368408.html</link>
  <description>&lt;strong&gt;Assertion&lt;/strong&gt;: Turnout is affected by the likelihood your vote will make a difference &lt;em&gt;and&lt;/em&gt; the amount of campaigning the parties are doing in the area.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;In areas that are considered to be &quot;safe&quot;,  a) voters are less likely to be interested and b) parties are less likely to run competetive campaigns, targetting resources and activists on marginal seats they may gain or lose.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.electoral-reform.org.uk/news.php?ex=0&amp;amp;nid=461&quot;&gt;Electoral Reform Society: Election already over in nearly 400 seats&lt;/a&gt;: &lt;blockquote&gt;The Society has listed 382 seats which are ‘Super Safe’ in that they will not change hands even with a landslide on any conceivable scale. The Society points out, however, that there are many more seats where the outcome is a very safe bet, even if an upset is not beyond probability.&lt;/blockquote&gt;It is my belief that turnout is likely to go up, overall, in this election as it&apos;s the first election since 1992 where the overall result is not a foregone conclusion.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;But for residents of 382 seats out of 650, the local result is already a foregone conclusion.  There&apos;s a spreadsheet on the site to download; if you live in one of the seats listed, &lt;span title=&quot;added 1307 7th April&quot;&gt;and you&apos;re not sure you want to vote,&lt;/span&gt; make sure you&apos;re registered to vote.  Go to the polling station.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;em&gt;Don&apos;t&lt;/em&gt; put an X in the box.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Write &quot;&lt;strong&gt;No Safe Seats; make my vote count&lt;/strong&gt;&quot; on the ballot paper.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Why should you do this?  Because at an election, the returning officer must get the agreement of a representative of each candidate before a ballot can be rejected.  Your already selected future MP will get to know how frustrated you are.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Prediction&lt;/strong&gt;: after the election, if it&apos;s as close as it is now, a large number of Conservatives will complain that they were robbed and that Labour got more seats than they deserved, or words to that effect; you already see this with the &quot;we won the votes in England&quot; meme.  What they don&apos;t take into account is that the &apos;safe&apos; Labour seats are &lt;em&gt;very very safe&lt;/em&gt;.  Turnout is incredibly low in many of them; that doesn&apos;t necessarily indicate disaffection, it just indicates that there&apos;s no point in going to the polling station when you know the MPs won already.  Labour seats see a much stronger falloff in turnout than Conservative seats, Lib Dem seats are in the middle.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;The Conservative party says they like the voting system as is, rotten boroughs, safe seats, differential turnout and all.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;It&apos;s a damn shame that they&apos;ve never bothered to try and understand it.&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;&lt;img src=&quot;https://www.dreamwidth.org/tools/commentcount?user=matgb&amp;ditemid=368408&quot; width=&quot;30&quot; height=&quot;12&quot; alt=&quot;comment count unavailable&quot; style=&quot;vertical-align: middle;&quot;/&gt; comments</description>
  <comments>https://matgb.dreamwidth.org/368408.html</comments>
  <category>politics</category>
  <category>analysis</category>
  <category>electoral reform</category>
  <lj:security>public</lj:security>
  <lj:reply-count>16</lj:reply-count>
</item>
</channel>
</rss>
