Brown's reshuffle--we got it right!
2007-Jun-29, Friday 01:14OK then, I've taken a screenshot of the final state of play in our predictions poll and compared it to El Gordo's new team
Charlie Falconer: 88.9% said Out!
Jack Straw: 78.9% said Change job, he's been promoted to Lord Chancellor (how will he sit on the Wool Sack?
Alan Johnson: He's changed (55.6%) to Health--interesting.
David Miliband: Yup, changed (61.1%) to be the youngest Foreign Secretary for, well, a few decades. I suspect he'll keep the dull blog though.
Patricia Hewitt: Yup, 66.7% said Out!
Peter Hain: Changed (52.6%) to Work and Pensions, although he does keep Wales (wonder what'll annoy
peterblack more, keeping Hain or the Plaid/Labour coalition deal?
Alistair Darling:82.4% said change, and he's ended up in Gordon's old job.
Hilary Benn: Yup, changed (68.4%) to DeFRA
Hazel Blears: We were forced to accept she'd not (55.6%) be Out!(38.9%) and is instead now to be Minister for telling the local councils what to do and listening in a patronising manner to all those awful self-appointed "community leaders". I feel sorry for the councillors, but the other part of her brief may see some fireworks.
Jacqui Smith: Big surprise here; we said change (56.2%)--as Brown's team were expected to all get promotions, but there was no way I'd have expected a jump from most junior Cabinet Minister all the way to Home Secretary. Yowsers! One to watch.
Baroness Amos: 72.2% said Stay--she has in fact been appointed EU ambassador to Africa
Des Browne: We said change job (50.0%), but all that's really happened is he's gained the Scotland brief, which is fairly irrelevant--wonder if he'll ring or call?
Douglas Alexander: We said stay (47.1%) in Transport, but he's taken Benn's old job in IntDev
John Hutton: We said stay in Work and Pensions, he's moved to the renamed DTi/Board of Trade/Ministry for Red Tape
Stephen Timms: We said change job (75.0%), instead in a surprise move he's Out! (0.0%) Weird, thought Brown liked him
Ruth Kelly: She's changed job (47.4%) to Transport, but an equal number of us expected her out (47.4%). Wishful thinking there I suspect, but still, I can't directly see how her insane lunacy directly creates a conflict of interest, unlike her previous two roles.
Tessa Jowell: Um, yeah, we actually got this 100% correct, but only by changing the definitions. She's Out! of the Cabinet (36.8%), has changed job (21.1%) to London and the South East but has also remained (42.1%) Olympics minister. Weird.
So, overall, 11 correct predictions, 5 wrong, 2 undecideds. Given that this has been described as "Night of the long knives II" by some, and is definitely the biggest reshuffle in my memory, that's not at all bad.
So, tell me LJ brain trust, what do we want to decide next?
Which reminds me,
mapp? Don't suppose by any chane you could update the icon for me?
What we got right
Margaret Beckett: 47.4% said Out! (and good riddance--why were the media surprised?)Charlie Falconer: 88.9% said Out!
Jack Straw: 78.9% said Change job, he's been promoted to Lord Chancellor (how will he sit on the Wool Sack?
Alan Johnson: He's changed (55.6%) to Health--interesting.
David Miliband: Yup, changed (61.1%) to be the youngest Foreign Secretary for, well, a few decades. I suspect he'll keep the dull blog though.
Patricia Hewitt: Yup, 66.7% said Out!
Peter Hain: Changed (52.6%) to Work and Pensions, although he does keep Wales (wonder what'll annoy
Alistair Darling:82.4% said change, and he's ended up in Gordon's old job.
Hilary Benn: Yup, changed (68.4%) to DeFRA
Hazel Blears: We were forced to accept she'd not (55.6%) be Out!(38.9%) and is instead now to be Minister for telling the local councils what to do and listening in a patronising manner to all those awful self-appointed "community leaders". I feel sorry for the councillors, but the other part of her brief may see some fireworks.
Jacqui Smith: Big surprise here; we said change (56.2%)--as Brown's team were expected to all get promotions, but there was no way I'd have expected a jump from most junior Cabinet Minister all the way to Home Secretary. Yowsers! One to watch.
What we got wrong
Baroness Amos: 72.2% said Stay--she has in fact been appointed EU ambassador to Africa
Des Browne: We said change job (50.0%), but all that's really happened is he's gained the Scotland brief, which is fairly irrelevant--wonder if he'll ring or call?
Douglas Alexander: We said stay (47.1%) in Transport, but he's taken Benn's old job in IntDev
John Hutton: We said stay in Work and Pensions, he's moved to the renamed DTi/Board of Trade/Ministry for Red Tape
Stephen Timms: We said change job (75.0%), instead in a surprise move he's Out! (0.0%) Weird, thought Brown liked him
What we couldn't decide
Ruth Kelly: She's changed job (47.4%) to Transport, but an equal number of us expected her out (47.4%). Wishful thinking there I suspect, but still, I can't directly see how her insane lunacy directly creates a conflict of interest, unlike her previous two roles.
Tessa Jowell: Um, yeah, we actually got this 100% correct, but only by changing the definitions. She's Out! of the Cabinet (36.8%), has changed job (21.1%) to London and the South East but has also remained (42.1%) Olympics minister. Weird.
So, overall, 11 correct predictions, 5 wrong, 2 undecideds. Given that this has been described as "Night of the long knives II" by some, and is definitely the biggest reshuffle in my memory, that's not at all bad.
So, tell me LJ brain trust, what do we want to decide next?
Which reminds me,
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Date: 2007-Jun-29, Friday 10:08 (UTC):P
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Date: 2007-Jun-29, Friday 10:17 (UTC)no subject
Date: 2007-Jun-29, Friday 10:19 (UTC)Ooooh, I like it when you're pervy ;)